Showing posts with label Goodluck Jonathan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Goodluck Jonathan. Show all posts

Friday, May 7, 2010

Nigerians lobby to be Jonathan's vice-president


According to an article by BBC News on May 7th, numerous Nigerian groups are lobbying for the vice-presidency of the recently sworn in Goodluck Jonathan. Analysts predict that the individual chosen for the position will likely be a strong contender in the 2011 election-- a prediction that adds significant weight to Jonathan's decision.

Jonathan will almost definitively pick an individual in the northern region of Nigeria, an action designed to pacify the severity of the countries cleavages. The presidency in Nigeria has alternated between the predominately Christian south and the Muslim north, and Yar'Adua's death signified a shortened period of Muslim rule. As a Christian, Jonathan must maintain regional balance to have a chance of having a less volatile period of rule.

Several names have been suggested thus far, including former anti-corruption chief Nuhu Ribadu and Yar'Adua's nephew, Murtala Yar'Adua. However, there has been speculation that Jonathan will defy political convention and stand as a candidate for the 2011 presidency in the governing People's Democratic Party.

Jonathan's delicate task of choosing a vice-president reveals the deep cleavages which have ravaged Nigeria. He is all but required to pick a northern Muslim to counterbalance his Christian presidency. The legitimacy of his presidency will likely be substantially hurt if he chooses to ignore this political tradition. By being sworn into the highest political office, Jonathan also took part in an important political change that thus far has not provoked the brutal protests of past presidencies. If he decides to represent the PDP personally in the upcoming 2011 election, Jonathan will break a political convention and alter the political institutions for future generations.

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Wednesday, May 5, 2010

Post #8- Yar'Adua Passes Away


Photo courtesy of The Daily Enquirer

After a long struggle with heart and kidney problems, Nigerian president Umaru Yar'Adua passed away on Wednesday night at the age of 58. A May 5th article on by The New York Times describes the complex legacy he will leave behind. Yar'Adua's presidency got a controversial start with accusations of ballot-box stuffing and fraud, most of which are believed to be true. At the start of his presidency, Yar'Adua promised to end the rampant violence that hampered oil production in the Niger Delta, control corruption and fix the persistent power outtages in the country. However, Yar'Adua was not able to deliver on these promises; groups such as MEND still wreak havoc in the Niger Delta (although overall violence in the area has decreased), Nigeria's premier anti-corruption leader, Nuhu Ribadu, left the country after receiving death threats for cracking down on some of Yar'Adua's supporters and electricity still goes out at frequent intervals. But it cannot be forgotten that the transition from Presidents Obasanjo to Yar'Adua marked the first peaceful transfer of power in Nigeria since gaining its independence.

Yar'Adua's presidency and death brings up two very crucial questions for Nigeria. First and foremost, Nigeria's flawed democracy was both bolstered and hurt by Yar'Adua's presidency. While it is apparent that corruption will take years and years to leave the country in multiple facets of its society, the peaceful power transfer from Presidents Obasanjo to Yar'Adua and relatively peaceful power "transfer" from Yar'Adua to Jonathan are both signs that prove democracy may not be impossible. Second, because Yar'Adua, a Muslim, passed away with about a year left in his term and his Christian vice-president Goodluck Jonathan took office, there is significant debate over how to handle this so that the balance of each religion in power is maintained. For a country so divided on religious and ethnic cleavages, this issue is critical. In addition, because the Nigerian government has low legitimacy and little faith in the rule of law, implementing any changes in the country may result in violence and sharp disagreement. These issues cannot be easily resolved and require much thought and compromise, but any decisions made will most definitely have a significant impact on Nigeria's government and politics.

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